In it’s simplest form all you need to do is to look at the records for the past 5 or 10 years and see how many new members have been made and compare that with how many have left.
[You can learn a lot more by analyzing the gains and losses e.g. are the gains biological – youngsters of existing members - or transfers from other churches. And are the losses inevitable as would be the case for deaths.]
Basically, if your gains are not covering your losses, you’re in trouble!
And if you haven’t seen any new members made in the last five years, you’re in even deeper trouble!
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